We started off the 2021 year on a losing note. Our bets ended up going 1-2 for a total loss of -1.12 units. We still show an all time profit of +3.32 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAInformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Kattar (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Max Holloway +3.13 units
We were able to hit our 5 unit max play bet on Max Holloway for +3.13 units. Our max bet plays are now 9-3 all time. This turned out to be as one sided of a fight as you can get. Max was able to completely outclass Kattar in a 5 round beat down. We felt Max was being written off and the close odds said as much. It was an all time performance by Holloway. To Kattar’s credit he was tough as can be, lasting the full 5 rounds.
Losing Bets
Austin Lingo ITD (-3 units)
This was the fight that could’ve kickstarted our year in the right direction. Lingo started off strong and was able to knockdown Kilburn in the first 20 seconds of round 1. He then proceeded to hurt Kilburn badly about a minute later but Kilburn somehow managed to survive and ultimately made it to the final bell. So we went from potentially winning 7.5 units to losing 3 units.
Austin Lingo, Carlos Felipe, & Dusko Todorovic parlay (-1.25 units)
Lingo started off the parlay right by getting a dominant unanimous decision victory. We then were very fortunate to be on the right side of the decision with Carlos Felipe. Many including myself felt he should’ve lost that fight. The parlay ultimately died on the last leg when Soriano was able to finish Todorovic in the 1st round. Todorovic fought reckless with his hands down. He was able to get away with it for a short while but Soriano ultimately was able to find his chin and get the victory.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs Magny (PLAYS)
Neil Magny over Michael Chiesa -145 (2 units) Bet was placed on 1/18/21.
The main event features a matchup between 2 fighters riding 3 fight winning streaks. Michael Chiesa has been perfect since his move up to welterweight. Not having to kill himself to make weight has helped him although his competition has been against mostly undersized opponents. He’ll look to get the fight to the ground where he holds the grappling and submissions edge.
Neil Magny is fighting in good form right now with victories over some decent opponents in his last 3 fights. He’s the naturally bigger fighter here and should look to keep the fight standing. Magny isn’t much of a power puncher and has zero submission skills but he makes up for it with volume and cardio. He should look to use his nearly 5 inch reach advantage and try to take Chiesa into deep waters. If he’s able to do that and stay clear from Chiesa’s submission game, he should be able to get the victory here most likely by decision.
Tyson Nam over Matt Schnell -130 (2 units) Bet was placed on 1/18/21.
This is a nice matchup between a clash of styles in the flyweight division. Matt Schnell should look to get the fight to the ground where he does his best work with his submission game. He was on a nice little 4 fight winning streak until he decided to have a stand up war with Alexandre Pantoja.
Tyson Nam is one of the hardest punchers in the flyweight division. He’s coming here off of 2 impressive KO / TKO victories albeit against lesser competition. Nam has fought the better competition throughout his career and is hard to take down with good submission defense. We feel that Schnell believes in his own striking too much and will be willing to mix it up on the feet with Nam. That would be a mistake given that Schnell has been KO’d 3 times in his last 7 fights. Nam is much the cleaner striker and has a devastating counter right. He should get the victory here with a good chance of it coming by KO / TKO.
Mason Jones over Mike Davis +140 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 1/18/21.
Mike Davis made a name for himself by losing a war against Sodiq Yusuff on Dana White’s Contender Series 2 & 1/2 years ago. He didn’t get a contract in a loss but was brought in as a short notice replacement against Gilbert Burns 3 fights later. Of course he was completely outclassed by Burns and didn’t put up much of a fight. His only UFC victory was against Thomas Gifford who should’ve never been in the UFC.
Mason Jones comes to the UFC with a perfect 10-0 record fighting under the Cage Warriors promotion. He was a double champion there and has fought the better competition as a whole throughout his career. This could be the fight of the night as both fighters should look to mix it up early and often. We’ll take the naturally bigger fighter Jones here at dog odds against Davis who’s also not proven against UFC caliber fighters.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed
