Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a winning week for the last fight card. Our bets went 2-3 for a total win of 0.57 units. Year to date our bets are up 4.10 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs Hill (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Jailton Almeida by KO (+1 unit)
This bet went according to plan with Abdurakhimov being tough to submit. Once Almeida realized this he put his focus on pounding him out for the TKO stoppage which made our bet a winner.
Gabriel Bonfim & Israel Bonfim parlay (+2.07 units)
The Bonfim Bros parlay came through with flying colors. Ismael got the parlay started off right with a spectacular flying knee KO over Terrance McKinney. Gabriel finished off the parlay with an impressive 1st round submission over Mounir Lazzez.
Losing Bets
Ismael Bonfim wins in round 1 (-0.50 units)
We were on the right fighter but the wrong round. Bonfim was able to finish McKinney as expected but it happened in round 2 and not round 1. Looking back we should’ve played him to win in both rounds 1 & 2 as the fight was never going to make it to round 3.
Josiane Nunes ITD & Gregory Rodrigues FDGTD parlay (-1 unit)
Somehow the Nunes fight was able to go the distance thus killing our parlay. She had the reputation of being a heavy striker but needed to let her hands go more often to give us a shot. The Rodrigues vs Ferreira fight went as planned with the fight ending shortly after the first clean shot landed.
Glover Teixeira (-1 unit)
Our read was off as we felt Teixeira had a great chance of winning once the fight hit the ground. That just wasn’t the case as Hill proved he was capable of surviving on the ground multiple times. While the fight remained standing he completely dominated Teixeira and earned the victory becoming the new UFC Light Heavyweight Champion.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac (PLAYS)
Rinya Nakamura / Ji Yeon Kim / Yusaku Kinoshita / Do Hoo Choi & Kyle Nelson FDGTD / Derrick Lewis & Sergei Spivac FDGTD parlay +219 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 2/3/23.
We’re starting off the betting with a chalky 5 leg parlay. Nakamura & Kinoshita are the better prospects who are supposed to win. Kim is on a 4 fight losing streak but those were against much tougher competition. She’s competitive in almost every fight and Bohm is a major step down in competition.
Choi and Nelson should get after it early and often. It would be a surprise if they could go the full 3 rounds. Finally the Lewis and Spivac fight is destined to end before 5 rounds. Lewis will either win by KO or get TKO’d or submitted before the final horn. It would be an absolute shocker if the fight made it to the scorecards.
Denis Tiuliulin +175 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 2/3/23.
Park has fought the better competition, is the better fighter, and the deserving favorite. With that being said he’s hittable and has been finished before. Tiuliulin hits hard and is a better fighter than his record indicates. For those reasons we’re taking a shot on him at nice dog odds.
Ji Yeon Kim by KO +450 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 2/3/23.
This fight was cancelled prior to our breakdown.
Yusaku Kinoshita by sub +650 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 2/3/23.
Kinoshita is the big favorite and is expected to win inside the distance. KO is the most likely method of finish however he does have a couple of submission victories as well. The submission odds were too good to pass up so we took the shot.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com
