Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a winning week for the last card. Our single bet went 1-0 for a total win of 5.72 units. Year to date our bets are down 15.34 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs Rakic (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Louis Smolka & Davey Grant FDGTD (+5.72 units)
We put all of our eggs into this single bet and it ended up working out. Smolka made it sweaty as his durability almost made this a losing bet. But in the end he couldn’t handle Grant’s leg kicks any more and the fight ended shortly into the 3rd round.
Losing Bets
NONE
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Vieira (PLAYS)
Tabitha Ricci / Michel Pereira parlay +196 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 5/20/22.
This is a risky parlay because it involves two closely lined fights. We feel Ricci is the better overall fighter and deserves to be the betting favorite. Viana has more fights in the UFC but she doesn’t have a good win in the promotion and has a few bad losses. Ricci should be better on the feet and on the ground and most likely will win a decision.
Michel Pereira is riding a 4 fight winning streak and has fought smarter of late. He’s been more technical and less flashy in his recent fights. Ponzinibbio is 1-2 since his return from an over 2 year hiatus. He’s now 35 years old and his best days appear to be behind him. We feel that Pereira is the better striker and will be able to land the more meaningful shots in this matchup. A decision or even finish victory is on the table for Pereira.
Omar Morales & Uros Medic FDGTD / Jailton Almeida ITD / Holly Holm parlay +178 (2 units) Bet was placed on 5/20/22.
Uros Medic is in the same group of fighters like Jordan Wright and Louis Smolka where their fights don’t go the distance. We have a strong feeling that he will either finish or get finished in his fight against Morales.
Jailton Almeida is an athletic specimen. Even though he’s moving up to heavyweight we feel his athleticism and skill set will be too much for Porter to handle. We’d be shocked if he wasn’t able to finish Porter inside the distance.
Holly Holm has a favorable matchup against Vieira. She’s by far the better striker and Vieira plods forward and is there to be hit. We feel Holm will be able to pick her apart from the outside for the duration of the fight. While a decision victory for Holm is the most likely outcome we wouldn’t be surprised to see a late round finish.
Jailton Almeida wins in round 1 +125 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 5/20/22.
As stated earlier there’s a huge speed and athleticism advantage for Almeida over Porter. We feel it’ll surface early in the fight with Porter getting hurt. The last time Porter fought someone with fast hands it was Chris Daukaus and he was finished in round 1. Almeida is equally live to finish on the feet or on the ground. All that is needed is a fast start from Almeida.
Holly Holm wins in round 4 +2800 (0.5 units) in round 5 +3500 (0.5 units) Bets were placed on 5/20/22.
We pointed out earlier why we feel Holm will beat Vieira. We’re taking a shot on her being able to finish Vieira later in the fight. Holm is a volume striker and we feel that’s what could open the door for a late round finish. If you couple Holm’s volume with a tired Vieira then the ingredients are there for a Holm finish later in the fight. It’s an unlikely outcome but we’ll take the chance at those generous odds.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com
