Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a winning week for the last card. Our single bet went 1-0 for a total win of 2.52 units. Year to date our bets are down 26.38 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC on ABC 3: Ortega vs Rodriguez (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Su Mudaerji & Matt Schnell FDGTD (+2.52 units)
The fight started off slow without much happening in round 1. Everything changed however in round 2. Mudaerji had Schnell badly hurt multiple times. Schnell withstood the onslaught and hurt Mudaerji as well. The fight ended up on the ground with Schnell getting the submission victory late in round 2.
Losing Bets
NONE
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall (PLAYS)
Mason Jones / Nathaniel Wood / Marc Diakiese / Molly McCann parlay +110 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 7/22/22.
We decided to make this chalk parlay consisting of fighters based out of the UK. Jones is the much better overall fighter
and brings a nonstop pace. Klein had an impressive UFC debut but has gone 1-2 since while looking average.
Wood makes his long awaited return against the slumping Rosa. Wood is younger and appears to be better everywhere as well. Diakiese has a big wrestling advantage over Hadzovic. He wasn’t afraid to use his wrestling in his last fight and should implement a similar game plan in this spot. McCann is a high volume fighter fighting in front of her home crowd. She’s easy to hit but Goldy doesn’t have the power to take advantage of it.
Chris Curtis / Volkan Oezdemir parlay +214 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 7/22/22.
Curtis is on a roll right now and is 3-0 in the UFC. He’s a smart fighter who’s difficult to take down and hold down. Hermansson’s best path to victory is getting the fight to the ground which we feel is going to be difficult to do. We expect the fight to remain standing where Curtis is the cleaner striker. He should be able to do enough to get the victory most likely by decision.
Oezdemir vs Craig is a classic striker vs grappler matchup. Craig is basically sub or bust. We believe the fight will remain mostly on the feet where Oezdemir is the much better striker. If the fight stays standing Oezdemir should win and a KO would be the most likely outcome.
Nicolas Dalby / Nikita Krylov parlay -101 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 7/22/22.
This parlay was made with the intention of fading the fighters who could legitimately retire after a loss. Gustafsson had already retired and is 0-3 in his last 3 fights. His best days are well passed him. Krylov isn’t a killer but he’s been active and is the better fighter at this point in their careers.
Dalby is the younger more talented fighter in his matchup. Silva is 39 years old and doesn’t fight often. He’s 0-2 in his last 2 fights and we wouldn’t be shocked if he called it career after a loss to Dalby. Besides that narrative Dalby is the better fighter and should win in this spot.
Makwan Amirkhani over Jonathan Pearce +150 (1 unit) / by submission +300 (0.5 units) in round 3 +7900 (0.5 units) Bets were placed on 7/22/22.
We feel Amirkhani is a live dog in this matchup. Pearce likes to drag fights to the ground and that’s where Amirkhani is most dangerous. Amirkhani is live to submit Pearce at any point when the fight is on the ground. We took a stab on Amirkhani in round 3 because the line at our book was completely off. It’s a long shot to happen but if it does, oh my!
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com