Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a winning week for the last fight card. Our bets went 1-1 for a total win of 0.10 units. Year to date our bets are up 1.70 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC 284: Makhachev vs Volkanovski (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Jack Jenkins / Loma Lookboonmee / Jack Della Maddalena parlay (+1.10 units)
Jenkins looked the part as he was able to dominate the outclassed but game Shainis. Lookboonmee had a slow start but that all changed in round 2. She was able to get her 1st submission victory shortly after taking Reed down. Della Maddalena kept on rolling and was able to close out the parlay with yet another 1st round finish.
Losing Bets
Alonzo Menifield ITD (-1 unit)
Menifield was only a clean punch or two away from getting the stoppage over Crute. Somehow Crute was able to survive and somehow the fight went the distance. The value was there but the outcome barely missed.
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs Blanchfield (PLAYS)
Clay Carpenter / Philipe Lins / Jim Miller & Alexander Hernandez FDGTD / Jordan Wright & Zac Pauga FDGTD parlay +221 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
Carpenter appears to be a nice prospect and the UFC is giving him a winnable matchup for his debut. Lins has the speed and athleticism advantage and those skills should lead him to victory over St Preux. Hernandez has been a 1st round or bust fighter lately and that should continue in his fight against Miller. Wright fights in a kill or be killed manner and we don’t see that changing against Pauga. It would be a shocker if that fight makes it to round 3 and the odds reflect it.
Jim Miller +175 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
Hernandez hit his peak in his UFC debut against Dariush. Since then he’s gone 4-5 and shown that he’s a slightly better than average fighter at best. Miller is the definition of a grizzled veteran. If he can survive the early Hernandez onslaught he’ll be in position to take over the fight and get the victory.
Jim Miller wins in round 2 +1100 (0.25 units) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
We just finished saying that if Miller can survive the early Hernandez onslaught he’ll be able to take over the fight. Hernandez has been finished in round 2 in 4 of his last 5 losses. It only makes sense to take a stab on Miller in round 2 at those generous odds.
Jordan Wright wins in round 1 +500 (0.25 units) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
If Wright were to win it’s most likely happening in round 1. He normally wins or loses in round 1. Pauga is coming off his 1st loss and is the naturally bigger fighter. He really should beat Wright but the line is very wide. Wright has the faster hands and is very capable of taking Pauga out early.
Josh Parisian +195 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
This is literally the lowest level heavyweight fight the UFC has to offer. Parisian is barely UFC quality but somehow has 2 UFC wins on his resume. Poques is making his UFC debut and looked average at best in his Contender Series fight. There isn’t a world where Pogues should be that heavy a favorite in his UFC debut based on his body of work.
Marcin Prachnio / Erin Blanchfield parlay +300 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 2/16/23.
Knight sports the body and the look but really isn’t a very good mma fighter. Prachnio isn’t anything special himself but he’s the better skilled fighter. If he can avoid Knight’s power he should be able to get the victory.
Blanchfield is taking a huge step up in competition but she’s been dominant so far in the UFC. At only 23 years old she’s everything Maycee Barber thought she herself was going to be. She’ll need to get the fight to the ground because Andrade is a killer on the feet.
Andrade can be controlled on the ground and Blanchfield is an excellent grappler. We expect Blanchfield to get the fight to the ground where she should dominate and propel herself to a title shot later in the year.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com
