Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a losing week for the last fight card. Our bets went 0-5 for a total loss of 3 units. Year to date our bets are up 1.83 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
NONE
Losing Bets
Carlston Harris / JJ Aldrich / Raphael Assuncao / Mario Bautista & Guido Cannetti under 2.5 rounds parlay (-1 unit)
Our parlay got off to a good start when Harris easily won his fight by unanimous decision. Everything came crashing down shortly after when Aldrich lost as a big favorite thus making our ticket a loser. We made the mistake of underestimating Lipski’s hand speed, volume, and experience.
Even had Aldrich won we still would’ve lost when Assuncao came from ahead to lose by a last second inverted triangle. Finally, the Bautista & Cannetti fight ended early as expected.
Said Nurmagomedov in round 2 +650 & round 3 +1000 (-0.50 units each, -1 unit total)
We were close to cashing this bet in round 2. Nurmagomedov had Martinez in trouble and was close to submitting him. Ultimately Martinez survived and was able to win a controversial decision making our bet a losing one.
Alexander Volkov in round 2 +850 & round 3 +1100 (-0.50 units each, -1 unit total)
We were greedy in this spot and it cost us. Instead of taking Volkov to win in rounds 2 or 3 we should’ve played him to win in rounds 1 or 2 or ITD. This was a big step up in competition for Romanov and we were confident Volkov would finish him. He did just that but in round 1 finalizing our horrible betting night.
UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 (PLAYS)
Jake Hadley ITD & Jack Shore ITD parlay +196 (1.5 units) Bet was placed on 3/16/23.
Hadley is a good looking prospect who was matched poorly in his UFC debut. He rebounded from that loss and looked good in his 2nd UFC fight winning by sub in round 2. Now he’s facing Gordon who is borderline UFC level.
We expect Hadley’s pace and pressure to be too much for Gordon to handle. Gordon’s best chance to win is on the ground but Hadley is dangerous there as well. We’re confident that Hadley can get the job done before hitting the judges scorecards.
Shore is making his featherweight debut after getting dominated in his last fight at bantamweight. It was his 1st loss and apparently the weight cut has been too much for him. Shore is talented everywhere and presses a good pace.
Amirkani enters this fight a loser of 4 out of his last 5 fights. He’s a talented grappler but also is a known gasser. We feel there’s a good chance he’ll get worn out in this spot as well with Shore being a good grappler too. We’re expecting Shore to finish Amirkani later in the fight most likely by submission.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com
