Products You May Like
We’re having a rough start to 2021. There have been 2 events so far and we are -6.12 units year to date. Our bets ended up going 0-3 for a total loss of 5 units for this past Wednesday card. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAInformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs Magny (RESULTS)
Winning Bets (None)
Losing Bets
Neil Magny (-2 units)
Our read was completely off on how we thought this fight would go. We felt Magny would be able to use his length and cardio to potentially outpoint Chiesa for the victory. What actually happened was Chiesa being able to implement a wrestle heavy game plan for the full 5 rounds. Magny found himself on his back for much of the fight. He was never able to separate from Chiesa for long periods of time. Chiesa was dominant in victory and now is a legitimate contender in the welterweight division.
Tyson Nam (-2 units)
The fact that this fight played out the whole time on the feet was surprising. What was more surprising is that Schnell was able to outbox and consistently beat Nam to the punch to get a decision victory. Nam tried over and over again to land his big right hand but Schnell was never there for it to change the outcome of the fight. It was a nice rebound victory for Schnell who was coming off a devastating loss in his last fight. Nam’s momentum is now paused as he was seeking a 3rd straight victory.
Mason Jones (-1 unit)
We took a stab on the debuting Jones at dog odds and it didn’t pan out. He was very competitive and the fight was very close on the scorecards. Ultimately Davis was able to land the more meaningful strikes even though he was out struck by Jones. Both fighters stocks go up after winning the fight of the night and Jones proved he belongs in the UFC.
UFC Fight 257: Poirier vs McGregor 2 (PLAYS)
Dan Hooker over Michael Chandler -130 (3 units) Bet was placed on 1/21/21.
Michael Chandler is making his long awaited UFC debut after spending basically his entire career in Bellator. He comes to the UFC at 34 years of age. While he’s still a good fighter, most likely his best days are behind him. The UFC is throwing him right into the fire as they’ve matched him up with the #6 ranked lightweight Dan Hooker.
Hooker’s career started to excel once he made the jump up to lightweight. He’s gone 7-2 at lightweight with victories over Gilbert Burns, Al Iaquinta, and Paul Felder to name a few. His only losses were to Edson Barboza and Dustin Poirier who’s an all time great fighting in the main event. We feel Chandler will either need to finish Hooker early or implement a grapple heavy game plan to get the victory. If the fight plays out on the feet Hooker’s volume could be difficult for Chandler to handle. We’re going with the younger Hooker who’s in his fighting prime to get the victory here.
Makmud Muradov over Andrew Sanchez -150 (2 units) Bet was placed on 1/21/21.
Andrew Sanchez has had his ups and downs in the UFC. He has 8 total wins in the UFC but none of them were against excellent competition. He’s been known to have chin and cardio issues in the past.
Makmud Muradov is 2-0 in the UFC and is in the midst of a 13 fight winning streak. He’s an excellent striker with good power who can end a fight in a hurry. We feel the fight will mostly play out on the feet where Muradov will have a big advantage. If our feeling is correct then Muradov should do enough to get the decision or possible stoppage victory.
Movsar Evloev by decision & Conor McGregor ITD parlay +140 (2 units) Bet was placed on 1/21/21.
Movsar Evloev is an undefeated rising prospect in the bantamweight division. He’s an excellent grappler with good striking. What he isn’t is a finisher as he tends to always go to a decision. We feel the same will happen in this spot against the durable veteran in Nik Lentz.
Conor McGregor is back in the octagon against Dustin Poirier. They fought back in 2014 when Conor finished him in round 1. Both fighters have improved greatly since then but Conor will still hold a significant speed and striking advantage. Dustin is more durable than he was back then but he still takes a lot of damage. He’ll try and take Conor into deep waters where Conor has been known to gas. Conor knows this so we feel it’s only a matter of time before he capitalizes on an opening and ends the fight shortly after.
Amir Albazi over Zhalgas Zhumagulov -110 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 1/21/21.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov lost his UFC debut in a competitive fight against Raulian Paiva. He wasn’t active enough to get the decision. Now he’s facing Amir Albazi who won his UFC debut by 1st round submission. Albazi is an excellent grappler who’s constantly looking for submissions. He has excellent wrestling and decent striking. We feel he will be the more active of the 2 fighters and that should be enough to get him the victory in this spot.
Brad Tavares by decision over Antonio Carlos Jr. +160 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 1/21/21.
The breakdown of this fight appears to be fairly simple. If the fight plays out mostly on the feet it favors Tavares. Or if it plays out mostly on the ground that would favor Carlos Jr. We’re of the belief that Tavares should be able to keep the fight standing where he’ll be the faster, better striker. Tavares isn’t a big puncher nor is he a submission fighter so his mostly likely method of victory would appear to be by decision.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed
