Products You May Like
Welcome back to Capper’s Delight. We’re coming off a losing week for the last fight card. Our bets went 0-2 for a total loss of 2 units. Year to date our bets are down 26.6 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAinformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
NONE
Losing Bets
Darrick Minner (-1 unit)
We knew a bad night of betting was coming when we were on the wrong side of an “alleged” fixed fight. Apparently Minner came into the fight injured and had no interest fighting for our money. He would’ve had a decent shot at the win under normal circumstances.
Grant Dawson & Marina Rodriguez parlay (-1 unit)
Dawson got the parlay started off right as he systematically dismantled Madsen. He did what he normally does and outwrestled the former Olympian. Madsen also didn’t have an answer for the leg kicks Dawson landed at will. Dawson was able to get a submission finish in round 3.
Unfortunately the parlay became a loser when Rodriguez lost in the main event. We felt she was the cleaner striker with the straighter punches. Lemos didn’t care about any of that and imposed her will on her. Rodriguez seemed hesitant to let her hands go while Lemos winged her powerful punches like normal. The result was a dominant TKO finish for the surging Lemos.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs Pereira (PLAYS)
Nick Negumereanu by decision +500 (0.25 units) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
We’re taking a swing on Negumereanu to win by decision in a closely lined fight. This is a classic striker vs grappler matchup. Ulberg is a talented striker but lacks a ground game. Negumereanu is a good wrestler with poor striking.
We feel Negumereanu will look to take the fight to the ground where he has the advantage. If that happens there’s a good chance the fight will go the distance as he’s not much of a finisher. He should be able to win a decision based on control time under that scenario.
Wellington Turman ITD +325 (0.25 units) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
Turman is a talented grappler with underrated striking. Petroski is undefeated in the UFC and is also a talented grappler. He does however have a questionable gas tank. We feel Turman can take Petroski into deep waters. Once there Petroski could be susceptible to getting hurt on the feet or getting submitted on the ground.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz ITD +300 (0.50 units) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
There’s a huge difference in fight experience and quality of opposition in this matchup. Kowalkiewicz is a former title contender with tons of UFC experience. This will be Gomez Juarez’ 4th UFC fight. Gomez Juarez has big power but no ground game.
Kowalkiewicz isn’t known for her grappling but she’s capable of submitting Gomez Juarez in this spot. All it will take is the fight to hit the floor and Kowalkiewicz will be live for a finish. Not because Kowalkiewicz is a grappling wizard but because Gomez Juarez is that bad on the ground.
Ottman Azaitar ITD +140 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
Azaitar is 13-0 and has almost finished all of his opponents. He packs huge one shot power. Frevola is well rounded but has some chin issues. If Frevola decides to bang it out on the feet then Azaitar will be live to end the fight at any moment. If Frevola looks to take the fight to the ground then he’ll most likely win
with ease.
Erin Blanchfield / Weili Zhang / Israel Adesanya parlay +123 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
We like our chances of hitting this chalky parlay. Blanchfield is a legit prospect with a clear path to victory. That path is to take the fight to the ground where she’s the superior grappler over McCann.
Zhang is the superior striker in her matchup against Esparza. If she can stay off of her back then she’s like to win by decision or finish. She’s going to be too strong for Esparza to handle in our opinion.
Adesanya is a top pound for pound fighter in all of mma. Pereira meanwhile is making just his 8th mma fight overall. Yes he holds 2 victories over Adesanya in kickboxing but that’s a completely different sport. Pereira appears to be KO or bust while Adesanya can win in a variety of ways. We feel Adesanya will get his revenge on Pereira and style on him along the way.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz & Silvana Gomez Juarez FDGTD / Matt Frevola & Ottman Azaitar FDGTD parlay +166 (2 units) Bet was placed on 11/11/22.
We pointed out earlier how Gomez Juarez packs big power and has no ground game. Kowalkiewicz has been stopped in the past against big punchers. If the fight plays out on the feet Gomez Juarez is live for a TKO finish. If it plays out on the ground Kowalkiewicz is live for a submission finish.
The exact same can be said in the Frevola vs Azaitar fight. Azaitar has the one shot power on the feet while Frevola is live for a finish on the ground. We fully expect both fights to end inside the distance for those reasons.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed.com
