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We got back on the winning track last week. Our bets ended up going 2-2 for a total win of 1.25 units. Year to date we are down 25.11 units. All bets are 3rd party tracked at Betmma.tips under the handicapper profile name MMAInformed.com.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai (RESULTS)
Winning Bets
Ilir Latifi by decision (1.75 units)
This fight played out how we thought with Latifi implementing a wrestle heavy game plan. There wasn’t much action but Latifi controlled Boser enough to get the decision in the minds of the judges.
Jair Rozenstruik by KO (1.50 units)
Rozenstruik’s only win condition came to fruition when he got the KO at the end of round 1. He has that “death touch” and is always a threat to end a fight when he lets his hands go.
Losing Bets
Gregory Rodrigues ITD (-1 unit)
This fight appeared to be destined to end inside the distance one way or another. What actually happened was Rodrigues fought smart and landed the more meaningful punches and earned the decision victory.
Walt Harris by KO (-1 unit)
If fights were only 1 minute long Walt Harris would be a world champion. But they’re not and he’s just a fighter who starts fast and fades even faster. Harris is super athletic but his lack of a ground game, take down defense, and cardio limits him greatly.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori (PLAYS)
Hakeem Dawodu over Movsar Evloev +190 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
This is an exciting matchup between two up and coming prospects in the featherweight division. One has a striking base, the other has a grappling base. We’re going with the striker in this spot.
Hakeem Dawodu is fast and hits hard. He also has good takedown defense and that will be put to the test. Evloev is undefeated but has had to overcome adversity in his last 2 fights. The feeling here is that Dawodu will be able to out-strike Evloev and that will most likely lead him to a decision victory.
Terrance McKinney over Matt Frevola ITD +300 (0.5 units) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
Terrance McKinney is making UFC debut on short notice. He’s an explosive fighter who’s never been to a decision in his career. Matt Frevola is well rounded and has much more UFC experience. He has been hurt in multiple fights however which opens the door for McKinney’s fighting style. If McKinney is able to win it’ll most likely be inside the distance.
Carlos Felipe over Jake Collier by decision +150 (0.5 units) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
Carlos Felipe is the better fighter with the better cardio. What he hasn’t shown in his UFC career thus far is fight ending power. If that holds true here again then it’s reasonable to believe he will outpoint Collier to a decision victory.
Steven Peterson over Chase Hooper by decision +240 (0.5 units) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
This is a matchup between a grizzled veteran and someone who probably shouldn’t be in the UFC at this time. Chase Hooper has 2 victories in the UFC but those were over opponents who also aren’t UFC level. He’s a one dimensional fighter who severely lacks a striking game.
To be fair Steven Peterson hasn’t been impressive in the UFC. But it’s all about the matchup and his high output striking style should fare well against Hooper. When you couple Peterson’s lack of power and Hooper’s toughness then a Peterson decision victory seems probable.
Leon Edwards over Nate Diaz ITD +125 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 6/11/12.
Nate Diaz is a UFC legend and fan favorite. But in 2021 he’s simply overmatched against Leon Edwards. Diaz is ultra tough and is known to be able to take a ton of damage. And that’s exactly what we expect to happen in this matchup.
Leon Edwards is on the cusp of a much deserved title shot. He’s on a 9 fight unbeaten streak and most haven’t been close. He should be able to pick apart Diaz from the outside. If the fight hits the ground he should also be able to land damage from on top. The feeling here is Diaz will take a ton of damage causing the fight to be stopped at some point later in the fight.
Deiveson Figueiredo over Brandon Moreno ITD +130 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
This is a rematch of probably the best fight in UFC Flyweight history. While that fight ended in a draw, we feel this fight will go differently like most rematches do. Brandon Moreno was able to take all of Figueiredo’s shots while landing many of his own in the 1st fight. Figueiredo entered that fight sick and was actually close to pulling out of it.
He enters this fight healthy off a full training camp. While he did struggle to make weight this time around, he’ll be entering this fight in better shape than the 1st fight. We feel he’ll be stronger and his punches will cause a bit more damage this time around. Moreno is game but his body will only be able to take so much damage from a healthy Figueiredo this time.
Carlos Felipe / Steven Peterson / Belal Muhammad / Deiveson Figueiredo / Israel Adesanya / Jamahal Hill ITD parlay +1333 (1 unit) Bet was placed on 6/11/21.
Some fights have already been addressed from previous bets so we’ll only breakdown the remaining fights. Belal Muhammad is the better fighter at this point and if he’s able to avoid the ground he will win. Israel Adesanya is coming off his 1st career loss at light heavyweight. Now that he’s back at middleweight we expect him to continue to dominate the division. While Vettori has improved greatly since their 1st fight it seems unlikely he’ll be the one to dethrone Adesanya at middleweight. Jamahal Hill is a dangerous pure striker and Paul Craig has been finished several times in the past. This is a striking mismatch and it should be a matter of time before Hill finishes him.
Anthony Sotelo for MMAInformed
